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Deep Learning on Limit Order Book Data

At a one-event horizon, 92 percent of mid-price labels are exactly no-change, so a model that always predicts flat scores 92 percent accuracy. That single number explains most of the gap between published order book results and what happens on a trading desk. This path covers what the book actually contains, what the architectures assume, why results fail to replicate, and the cost hurdle that decides whether a real edge is worth anything.

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Lessons, in order

  1. 1
    AI
    What Is Actually in an Order Book, and What a Model Can See
    Start
  2. 2
    AI
    Architectures for Order Book Data, and Why They Help Less Than Expected
    Start
  3. 3
    AI
    Why Reported Order Book Results Do Not Replicate
    Start
  4. 4
    AI
    Evaluating a Book Model Honestly
    Start