What the evaluations showed
By the time selective state space models reached the scale where comparison was meaningful, the result was consistent and specific.
Mamba and Mamba-2 match transformers on many standard benchmarks at around 8 billion parameters. Perplexity is competitive, general language understanding holds up, and the efficiency gains are real.
They lag on a narrow and identifiable set of tasks. Five-shot MMLU is one. Phonebook lookup is the cleanest: give the model a list of names and numbers in context, ask for one number, and see whether it comes back. Transformers do this reliably. State space models struggle.
More broadly, the gap appears wherever the task is copying from or retrieving out of the context rather than reasoning about it in aggregate.
The pattern in the failures is more useful than the aggregate scores. This is not a model that is generally weaker. It is a model that is equally good at almost everything and specifically bad at exact retrieval, which is precisely what the previous two lessons predicted from the capacity argument.

